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Ethereum could soon be on a technical dead end, while the growth of 2 layer solutions threatens to saturate its therapeutic capacity, despite the planned improvement.
In short
- The current capacity of three balls on the Ethereum block becomes an insufficient face -to -face growth.
- Even after the Pectra upgrade, which doubles this capacity, the simulation ensures rapid saturation.
- One of the L2 transactions could increase the cost of $ 0.64 per transaction.
- Ethereum should reach at least 33 balls per block to maintain viable costs.
Watch race for Ethereum scalability
Since the introduction of the EIP-4844 he used the ethereum “Blobs »» As a mechanism of storage with low cost to support L2 networks as a basis, arbitrum and optimism.
These solutions allow you to unload the main network while maintaining its safety. However, the current capacity of three balls per block is now the main restriction.
Another Pectra update, scheduled for May 7, 2025, will double this capacity to six blocks per block. According to the report projections, however, this improvement will remain insufficient due to the accelerated acceptance of L2.
Simulations show that multiplication of ten transaction volumes in these networks would push the costs of prohibited levels and potentially reached $ 0.64 per transaction.
Even with future upgrades such as Peerdas and Fusaka, experts believe that Ethereum should support at least 33 balls per block to maintain transaction costs L2 below $ 0.02.
The basis perfectly illustrates the challenges of the model
The basic case, blockchain Coinbase L2, perfectly illustrates this dilemma. Since its launch, the base has generated more than $ 106 million in fees, integrated more than 155 million addresses, and contributed $ 4.5 million in the Blob per Ethereum.
With an average of 93 transactions per second in the last six months, the base shows the profits and challenges of the current model. This blockchain already provides a total of almost $ 10 billion and strengthens the ecosystem Ethereum, but its continuous growth could exert pressure on the existing infrastructure.
If the Ethereum cannot quickly adapt the capacity of Blobs, it risks that its endangered L2 strategy with a return to high costs, which would cancel the advantages of scaling solutions.
In a scenario in which the L2 transaction would increase by ten times, the annual Ethereum revenue would achieve approximately $ 1.4 billion, the equivalent of their current fees generation.
The future of Ethereum as a vertebral column of decentralized applications will therefore depend on its ability to solve these technical restrictions before they become an unsurpassed obstacle to its adoption.
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Passionate Bitcoin, I like to explore meanders blockchain and cryptos and share my discoveries with the community. My dream is to live in a world where privacy and financial freedom is guaranteed for everyone, and I firmly believe that Bitcoin is a tool that can make it possible.
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The words and opinions expressed in this article are involved only by their author and should not be considered investment counseling. Do your own research before any investment decision.